Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Mostrar: 20 | 50 | 100
Resultados 1 - 10 de 10
Filtrar
1.
Arch. bronconeumol. (Ed. impr.) ; 56(9): 564-570, sept. 2020. tab, graf
Artigo em Inglês | IBECS | ID: ibc-198500

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Mortality risk prediction for Intermediate Respiratory Care Unit's (IRCU) patients can facilitate optimal treatment in high-risk patients. While Intensive Care Units (ICUs) have a long term experience in using algorithms for this purpose, due to the special features of the IRCUs, the same strategics are not applicable. The aim of this study is to develop an IRCU specific mortality predictor tool using machine learning methods. METHODS: Vital signs of patients were recorded from 1966 patients admitted from 2007 to 2017 in the Jiménez Díaz Foundation University Hospital's IRCU. A neural network was used to select the variables that better predict mortality status. Multivariate logistic regression provided us cut-off points that best discriminated the mortality status for each of the parameters. A new guideline for risk assessment was applied and mortality was recorded during one year. RESULTS: Our algorithm shows that thrombocytopenia, metabolic acidosis, anemia, tachypnea, age, sodium levels, hypoxemia, leukocytopenia and hyperkalemia are the most relevant parameters associated with mortality. First year with this decision scene showed a decrease in failure rate of a 50%. CONCLUSIONS: We have generated a neural network model capable of identifying and classifying mortality predictors in the IRCU of a general hospital. Combined with multivariate regression analysis, it has provided us with an useful tool for the real-time monitoring of patients to detect specific mortality risks. The overall algorithm can be scaled to any type of unit offering personalized results and will increase accuracy over time when more patients are included to the cohorts


INTRODUCCIÓN: La predicción del riesgo de mortalidad de los pacientes en la unidad de cuidados respiratorios intermedios (UCRI) puede facilitar un tratamiento óptimo en pacientes de alto riesgo. Si bien las unidades de cuidados intensivos (UCI) tienen una experiencia a largo plazo en el uso de algoritmos para este propósito, debido a las características especiales de las UCRI, no se pueden aplicar las mismas estrategias. El objetivo de este estudio es desarrollar una herramienta de predicción de mortalidad específica para la UCRI utilizando métodos de aprendizaje automático. MÉTODOS: Se registraron los signos vitales de 1.966 pacientes ingresados entre 2007 y 2017 en la UCRI del Hospital Universitario de la Fundación Jiménez Díaz. Se utilizó una red neuronal para seleccionar las variables que mejor predijeran el estado de mortalidad. La regresión logística multivariante nos proporcionó los puntos de corte que discriminaban mejor el estado de la mortalidad para cada uno de los parámetros. Se aplicó una nueva guía para la evaluación de riesgos, y se registró la mortalidad durante un año. RESULTADOS: Nuestro algoritmo muestra que la trombocitopenia, la acidosis metabólica, la anemia, la taquipnea, la edad, los niveles de sodio, la hipoxemia, la leucocitopenia y la hipercalemia son los parámetros más relevantes asociados con la mortalidad. En el primer año con este escenario de decisión se mostró una disminución en la tasa de fracaso de un 50%. CONCLUSIONES: Hemos generado un modelo de red neuronal capaz de identificar y clasificar predictores de mortalidad en la UCRI de un hospital general. Combinado con el análisis de regresión multivariante, nos ha proporcionado una herramienta útil para la monitorización en tiempo real de pacientes para detectar riesgos de mortalidad específicos. El algoritmo general se puede modificar a escala para cualquier tipo de unidad, lo que ofrecerá resultados personalizados, y su precisión aumentará con el tiempo, según se incluyan más pacientes en las cohortes


Assuntos
Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Redes Neurais de Computação , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Administração de Caso , Fatores de Risco , Algoritmos
4.
Arch Bronconeumol ; 56(9): 564-570, 2020 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês, Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35380110

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Mortality risk prediction for Intermediate Respiratory Care Unit's (IRCU) patients can facilitate optimal treatment in high-risk patients. While Intensive Care Units (ICUs) have a long term experience in using algorithms for this purpose, due to the special features of the IRCUs, the same strategics are not applicable. The aim of this study is to develop an IRCU specific mortality predictor tool using machine learning methods. METHODS: Vital signs of patients were recorded from 1966 patients admitted from 2007 to 2017 in the Jiménez Díaz Foundation University Hospital's IRCU. A neural network was used to select the variables that better predict mortality status. Multivariate logistic regression provided us cut-off points that best discriminated the mortality status for each of the parameters. A new guideline for risk assessment was applied and mortality was recorded during one year. RESULTS: Our algorithm shows that thrombocytopenia, metabolic acidosis, anemia, tachypnea, age, sodium levels, hypoxemia, leukocytopenia and hyperkalemia are the most relevant parameters associated with mortality. First year with this decision scene showed a decrease in failure rate of a 50%. CONCLUSIONS: We have generated a neural network model capable of identifying and classifying mortality predictors in the IRCU of a general hospital. Combined with multivariate regression analysis, it has provided us with an useful tool for the real-time monitoring of patients to detect specific mortality risks. The overall algorithm can be scaled to any type of unit offering personalized results and will increase accuracy over time when more patients are included to the cohorts.

5.
Arch. bronconeumol. (Ed. impr.) ; 55(12): 634-641, dic. 2019. graf, tab
Artigo em Espanhol | IBECS | ID: ibc-186397

RESUMO

Introducción: Históricamente se ha asumido que las unidades de cuidados intermedios respiratorios (UCIR) eran estructuras eficientes por los costes evitados atribuibles a la reducción de los ingresos en las unidades de cuidados intensivos (UCI) y eficaces por la especialización neumológica. Métodos: Se evaluó el número de ingresos y mortalidad en la unidad, histórica y en el año 2016. Ese año además se describieron los grupos relacionados de diagnóstico (GRD) agrupados y el coste evitado por estancia en UCI en relación con todos los capítulos presupuestarios. Se realizó un análisis multivariante para asociar costes a pesos medios y complejidad y se realizó una regresión logística múltiple sobre la totalidad de enfermos ingresados de 2004 a 2017 para describir las variables asociadas a la mortalidad en nuestra unidad. Resultados: La UCIR evita un coste al hospital de 500.000 €/año al reducir días de estancia en las UCI. El análisis sobre la cohorte de 2016 describe que los costes se asocian al peso medio y mortalidad, y por tanto, a la complejidad. El análisis de regresión logística multivariante sobre la cohorte de 2004-2017 describe la frecuencia respiratoria, la leucopenia, la anemia, la hiperpotasemia y la acidosis como las variables que mejor se asocian con la mortalidad. El área bajo la curva para el modelo logístico fue de 0,75. Conclusión: La UCIR analizada ha demostrado ser eficiente en términos de «coste evitado» y ahorro ligado a la complejidad. Nuestros resultados sugieren que las UCIR son un entorno seguro para los pacientes al tener una mortalidad menor que otras unidades similares


Introduction: Historically, it has been assumed that Intermediate Respiratory Care Units (IRCU) were efficient, because they saved costs by reducing the number of admissions to intensive care units (ICU), and effective, because they specialized in respiratory diseases. Methods: The number of IRCU admissions and mortality rate, historically and in 2016, were evaluated. For 2016, the grouped Related Diagnostic Groups (DRGs) were also described, and the savings achieved under all budgetary headings by avoiding UCI stays were calculated. A multivariate analysis was performed to associate costs with mean weights and complexity, and multiple logistic regression was performed on all patients admitted from 2004 to 2017 to describe the variables associated with mortality in our unit. Results: An IRCU generates savings of 500,000 €/year by reducing length of ICU stay. Analysis of the 2016 cohort shows that costs correlate with mean weight and mortality, and consequently complexity. The multivariate logistic regression analysis of the 2004-2017 cohort found respiratory frequency, leukopenia, anemia, hyperkalemia, and acidosis to be the variables best associated with mortality. The area under the curve for the logistic model was 0.75. Conclusion: The IRCU analyzed in our study was efficient in terms of "avoided costs" and savings associated with complexity. Our results suggest that IRCUs have a lower mortality rate than other similar units, and are therefore a safe environment for patients


Assuntos
Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Custos e Análise de Custo/métodos , Unidades de Cuidados Respiratórios/economia , Segurança do Paciente , Instituições para Cuidados Intermediários/economia , Análise Multivariada , Modelos Logísticos , Unidades de Cuidados Respiratórios/tendências , Análise de Dados
6.
Arch Bronconeumol (Engl Ed) ; 55(12): 634-641, 2019 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês, Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31587917

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Historically, it has been assumed that Intermediate Respiratory Care Units (IRCU) were efficient, because they saved costs by reducing the number of admissions to intensive care units (ICU), and effective, because they specialized in respiratory diseases. METHODS: The number of IRCU admissions and mortality rate, historically and in 2016, were evaluated. For 2016, the grouped Related Diagnostic Groups (DRGs) were also described, and the savings achieved under all budgetary headings by avoiding UCI stays were calculated. A multivariate analysis was performed to associate costs with mean weights and complexity, and multiple logistic regression was performed on all patients admitted from 2004 to 2017 to describe the variables associated with mortality in our unit. RESULTS: An IRCU generates savings of €500,000/year by reducing length of ICU stay. Analysis of the 2016 cohort shows that costs correlate with mean weight and mortality, and consequently complexity. The multivariate logistic regression analysis of the 2004-2017 cohort found respiratory frequency, leukopenia, anemia, hyperkalemia, and acidosis to be the variables best associated with mortality. The area under the curve for the logistic model was 0.75. CONCLUSION: The IRCU analyzed in our study was efficient in terms of 'avoided costs' and savings associated with complexity. Our results suggest that IRCUs have a lower mortality rate than other similar units, and are therefore a safe environment for patients.


Assuntos
Custos e Análise de Custo , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Unidades de Cuidados Respiratórios/economia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Redução de Custos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Segurança do Paciente
SELEÇÃO DE REFERÊNCIAS
DETALHE DA PESQUISA
...